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Cape Verde vs Serbia

World World

Friendly International Estádio do Restelo, Lisbon
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lenini K.
Assist: Mendes R.
19'
Monteiro J.
20'
Zivkovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Cape Verde and Serbia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cape Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cape Verde
6%
Draws
4%
Serbia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cape Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cape Verde come out ahead of Serbia on wins alone.
  • Cape Verde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Cape Verde Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cape Verde Serbia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Friendly International
Cape Verde vs Serbia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cape Verde Compare

Top Goalscorer Lenini K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duarte L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Serbia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cape Verde 95 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cape Verde Serbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cape Verde found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Serbia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cape Verde has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cape Verde VS Serbia
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cape Verde

(Home)
03 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Cape Verde
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
15 Jun
Spain
0 : 0
Cape Verde
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
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Serbia

(Away)
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0
Serbia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
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