Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capelle vs AZSV

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
van der Heiden D.
8' Event
van der Heiden D.
29' Event
Pape M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Capelle in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Capelle
30%
Draws
18%
AZSV
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AZSV haven't matched Capelle's recent run of results.
  • Capelle are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Capelle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capelle, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Capelle Clean Sheet 19%
AZSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capelle AZSV
Matches Played 28 7
Wins 13 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.82 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Derde Divisie
Capelle vs AZSV
4:1
May 30, 2023 Derde Divisie
AZSV vs Capelle
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Heiden D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

AZSV Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capelle 76 / 100
AZSV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capelle AZSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capelle scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

AZSV has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Capelle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capelle VS AZSV
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Capelle

(Home)
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
24 Sept
HV & CV Quick
0 : 3
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

AZSV

(Away)
01 Jun
Huizen
1 : 1
AZSV
29 May
AZSV
0 : 1
Huizen
03 Jun
Capelle
4 : 1
AZSV
30 May
AZSV
2 : 2
Capelle
04 Jul
AZSV
1 : 1
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Smitshoek 5
VVOG 2
ODIN '59 7
Swift 2
Genemuiden 3
Excelsior 31 1
AZSV 3
Capelle 6
HBS Craeyenhout 2
Watergraafsmeer 6
Be Quick 1887 1
Kampong 4
SV Juliana 31 1
Baronie 2
AWC 2
RKAVV Leidschendam 1
Final
Smitshoek 3
ODIN '59 6
Genemuiden 6
Capelle 3
Watergraafsmeer 1
Kampong 3
Baronie 1
AWC 2