Sport Picks

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Capelle vs Excelsior 31

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
van der Sande O.
12' Event
Boeloerditi B.
72' Event
Boeloerditi B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Excelsior 31 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Capelle
20%
Draws
40%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Capelle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Capelle's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Capelle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior 31, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Capelle Clean Sheet 11%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capelle Excelsior 31
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2018 Derde Divisie
Capelle vs Excelsior 31
1:2
May 29, 2018 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Capelle
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Sande O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Boeloerditi B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capelle 35 / 100
Excelsior 31 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capelle Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capelle's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Excelsior 31 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Capelle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capelle VS Excelsior 31
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Capelle

(Home)
11 Aug
Capelle
2 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior 31

(Away)
23 May
Urk
1 : 2
Excelsior 31
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1
Staphorst
09 May
TEC
1 : 1
Excelsior 31
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
18 Apr
USV Hercules
3 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ajax (Am) 3
Ter Leede 2
Spijkenisse 2
HSV Hoek 3
SteDoCo 5
VV Berkum 4
Excelsior 31 3
Capelle 5
GOES 3
Silvolde 2
Gemert 2
Be Quick 1887 5
RKSV Halsteren 2
Achilles 94 1
HVV Hollandia 2
KVV Quick 20 3
Final
Ajax (Am) 3
HSV Hoek 4
SteDoCo 3
Capelle 1
GOES 4
Be Quick 1887 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
KVV Quick 20 4