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Capelle vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
van der Sande O.
12' Event
Boeloerditi B.
72' Event
Boeloerditi B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Excelsior 31 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Capelle
20%
Draws
52%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior 31 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Excelsior 31 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior 31, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Capelle Clean Sheet 12%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capelle Excelsior 31
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2018 Derde Divisie
Capelle vs Excelsior 31
1:2
May 29, 2018 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Capelle
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Sande O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Boeloerditi B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capelle 11 / 100
Excelsior 31 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capelle Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capelle's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Excelsior 31 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Capelle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capelle VS Excelsior 31
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capelle

(Home)
11 Aug
Capelle
2 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior 31

(Away)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ajax (Am) 3
Ter Leede 2
Spijkenisse 2
HSV Hoek 3
SteDoCo 5
VV Berkum 4
Excelsior 31 3
Capelle 5
GOES 3
Silvolde 2
Gemert 2
Be Quick 1887 5
RKSV Halsteren 2
Achilles 94 1
HVV Hollandia 2
KVV Quick 20 3
Final
Ajax (Am) 3
HSV Hoek 4
SteDoCo 3
Capelle 1
GOES 4
Be Quick 1887 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
KVV Quick 20 4