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Capelle vs Hoogland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
van Eijk B.
21' Event
Krznaric L.
66' Event
Bosscha L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Capelle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Capelle
20%
Draws
47%
Hoogland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hoogland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capelle come out ahead of Hoogland on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Capelle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capelle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Capelle Clean Sheet 10%
Hoogland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capelle Hoogland
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2020 KNVB Beker
Capelle vs Hoogland
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capelle Compare

Top Goalscorer van Eijk B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krznaric L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hoogland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capelle 34 / 100
Hoogland 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capelle Hoogland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoogland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capelle's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hoogland has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Capelle stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capelle VS Hoogland
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capelle

(Home)
11 Aug
Capelle
2 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Hoogland

(Away)
19 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 2
Hoogland
16 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
12 Jun
Hoogland
5 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
09 Jun
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 0
Hoogland
06 Jun
Hoogland
2 : 1
GVV Unitas
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
FC Emmen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
De Treffers -
TBD -
Barendrecht 5
RKVV Erp 0
Achilles Veen 5
NWC 0
ACV Assen 0
Gemert 2
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
Sliedrecht 3
VVSB 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IJsselmeervogels -
RKSV Cluzona 0
Sparta Nijkerk 4
TBD -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
Ter Leede 6
Hoogezand 2
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
DWOW 2
Buitenpost 5
Capelle 4
Hoogland 0
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
VVOG 0
DEM 2
Harkemase Boys 6
USV Hercules 0
HVV Hollandia 0
Flevo Boys 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
GOES 1
Sportlust 0
AWC 3
ODIN '59 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
DTS Ede 4
RKVV Best Vooruit 0
Jong AFC 1
GVV Unitas 2
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Roda 46 (Zat) 2
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
HSV Hoek 1
OFC Oostzaan 3
DOS Kampen 1
EVV 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
Koninklijke HFC -
TBD -
FC OSS '20 5
Ajax (Am) 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Staphorst 2
HSC '21 0
TBD -
ASWH -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
VV Hoogeveen 2
VV DOVO 3
DVS '33 Ermelo 3
Dongen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Westlandia 4
Venray 1
TBD -
TBD -
Lisse 3
Blauw Geel 0
SteDoCo 10
Den Hoorn 0
SVC 08 1
HV & CV Quick 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Rijnvogels 2
Watergraafsmeer 1
DUNO 1
UNA 3
Excelsior 31 3
Susteren 0
VV Scherpenzeel 2
Groene Ster 3
TBD -
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/64-finals
FC Emmen -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Heerenveen -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
De Treffers 1
Barendrecht 2
Achilles Veen 2
Gemert 0
VV Noordwijk 2
Sliedrecht 3
TBD -
IJsselmeervogels -
Sparta Nijkerk 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 3
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Ter Leede 1
Heracles -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
Buitenpost 1
Capelle 2
Spakenburg 0
AFC 1
Kozakken Boys 1
DEM 0
Harkemase Boys 5
Flevo Boys 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
GOES 1
ODIN '59 2
TBD -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
DTS Ede 3
GVV Unitas 1
Quick Boys 5
Roda 46 (Zat) 0
OFC Oostzaan 7
DOS Kampen 1
TBD -
Maastricht -
Koninklijke HFC 0
FC OSS '20 1
TBD -
Katwijk -
Excelsior -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Staphorst 5
ASWH 2
TBD -
Zwolle -
VV DOVO 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
TBD -
Willem II -
Hardenberg 3
GVVV 2
TBD -
Vitesse -
Den Haag -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Westlandia -
TBD -
Lisse 0
SteDoCo 3
HV & CV Quick -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Rijnvogels 2
UNA 4
Excelsior 31 2
Groene Ster 3
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
G.A. Eagles -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
1/32-finals
FC Emmen 2
Eindhoven FC 0
TEC -
Groningen -
Heerenveen 3
TOP Oss 1
Barendrecht -
Achilles Veen -
Sliedrecht -
IJsselmeervogels -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heracles 3
Telstar 0
Capelle -
AFC -
Kozakken Boys -
Harkemase Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
TBD -
Dordrecht 2
Utrecht 4
ODIN '59 -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 1
De Graafschap 3
DTS Ede -
Quick Boys -
OFC Oostzaan -
Maastricht -
FC OSS '20 -
Katwijk -
Excelsior 4
Helmond Sport 0
Staphorst -
Zwolle -
DVS '33 Ermelo -
Willem II -
Hardenberg -
Vitesse -
Den Haag 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
Westlandia -
SteDoCo -
HV & CV Quick -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Roda 0
Sittard 2
UNA -
Groene Ster -
SVV Scheveningen -
Almere City -
Venlo 4
Den Bosch 2
Waalwijk 2
Cambuur 3
G.A. Eagles 6
NAC Breda 0
1/16-finals
FC Emmen 2
Groningen 1
Heerenveen -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Heracles -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
Ajax 5
Utrecht 4
FC Volendam -
TBD -
De Graafschap 1
PSV 2
Maastricht -
TBD -
Excelsior 2
Zwolle 0
Willem II 0
Vitesse 2
Den Haag -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
Sittard -
TBD -
Almere City 1
Venlo 4
Cambuur 1
G.A. Eagles 2
1/8-finals
FC Emmen 1
Heerenveen 2
Feyenoord 3
Heracles 2
AZ Alkmaar 0
Ajax 1
FC Volendam 0
PSV 2
Maastricht 2
Excelsior 3
Vitesse 2
Den Haag 1
Nijmegen 3
Sittard 2
Venlo 1
G.A. Eagles 0
Quarter-finals
Heerenveen 4
Feyenoord 3
Ajax 2
PSV 1
Excelsior 0
Vitesse 1
Nijmegen 1
Venlo 2
Semi-finals
Heerenveen 0
Ajax 3
Vitesse 2
Venlo 0
Final
Ajax 2
Vitesse 1