Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capelle vs Nijmegen

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Tavsan E.
41' Event
Tavsan E.
58'
Sub
Akman A. In: ter Haar Romeny O.
Out: Akman A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Nijmegen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Capelle
15%
Draws
37%
Nijmegen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capelle come out ahead of Nijmegen on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Capelle taking it.
  • Capelle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nijmegen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Capelle Clean Sheet 19%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capelle Nijmegen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 KNVB Beker
Capelle vs Nijmegen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capelle Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nijmegen Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavsan E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader ter Haar Romeny O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capelle 40 / 100
Nijmegen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capelle Nijmegen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capelle scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Nijmegen has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Capelle remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capelle VS Nijmegen
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capelle

(Home)
28 Oct
Capelle
1 : 5
Roda
23 Sept
Capelle
5 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
02 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Capelle
29 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 1
Capelle
24 Sept
HV & CV Quick
0 : 3
Capelle
Page 1 of 6

Nijmegen

(Away)
04 Aug
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 0
Nijmegen
31 Jul
Nijmegen
1 : 2
Sevilla
25 Jul
Nijmegen
0 : 1
Elversberg
18 Jul
Nijmegen
7 : 0
Al Fayha
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Katwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Harkemase Boys -
GOES -
TBD -
TBD -
VV DOVO -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
DEM 1
Sparta Nijkerk 2
TBD -
Sliedrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Staphorst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dongen -
Gemert -
TBD -
TBD -
TEC -
FC OSS '20 -
TBD -
HSC '21 2
Excelsior 31 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ASWH -
TBD -
TBD -
HV & CV Quick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
Barendrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
SVV Scheveningen -
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Hoogland -
TBD -
TBD -
Westlandia -
OFC Oostzaan -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Vitesse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
VVOG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Achilles Veen -
TBD -
TBD -
DTS Ede -
GVV Unitas -
TBD -
Watergraafsmeer 1
Ter Leede 5
DVS '33 Ermelo -
TBD -
TBD -
VV Noordwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportlust -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Groningen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Ajax (Am) 2
EVV 1
TBD -
VVSB -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Hardenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
Capelle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Blauw Geel 1
Lisse 2
TBD -
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
ODIN '59 -
TBD -
TBD -
De Treffers -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Groene Ster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telstar -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
UNA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
HSV Hoek -
TBD -
TBD -
SteDoCo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Utrecht -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
USV Hercules -
TBD -
HVV Hollandia 1
ACV Assen 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maastricht -
1/64-finals
Katwijk 2
Harkemase Boys 3
GOES 1
VV DOVO 2
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Sparta Nijkerk 2
Sliedrecht 0
TBD -
Den Haag -
Staphorst 3
Dongen 1
Gemert 3
TEC 1
FC OSS '20 2
HSC '21 1
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feyenoord -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ASWH 1
HV & CV Quick 0
TBD -
Heracles -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Koninklijke HFC 1
Barendrecht 3
SVV Scheveningen 0
FC Volendam -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Hoogland 0
Westlandia 1
OFC Oostzaan 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
Vitesse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV 3
VVOG 1
TBD -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Achilles Veen 3
DTS Ede 2
GVV Unitas 1
Ter Leede 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 3
VV Noordwijk 2
TBD -
Eindhoven FC -
IJsselmeervogels 3
Sportlust 1
TBD -
Excelsior -
Groningen -
TBD -
TBD -
Helmond Sport -
Ajax (Am) 4
VVSB 1
TBD -
Cambuur -
Hardenberg 0
Capelle 2
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Lisse 1
AFC 2
TBD -
Heerenveen -
ODIN '59 1
De Treffers 2
Quick Boys 0
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Kozakken Boys 2
Groene Ster 0
TBD -
Telstar -
Spakenburg 5
UNA 2
TBD -
Dordrecht -
NAC Breda -
TBD -
TBD -
Venlo -
HSV Hoek 2
SteDoCo 3
TBD -
Utrecht -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
USV Hercules 1
ACV Assen 2
TBD -
Maastricht -
1/32-finals
Harkemase Boys 2
VV DOVO 1
Waalwijk 3
Willem II 0
Sparta Nijkerk 0
Den Haag 2
Staphorst 0
Gemert 3
FC OSS '20 0
Twente 2
TBD -
Feyenoord -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
ASWH 1
Heracles 3
Ajax -
TBD -
ADO 20 Heemskerk 2
Barendrecht 3
FC Volendam 0
FC Emmen 3
Westlandia 2
Excelsior Maassluis 5
Vitesse -
TBD -
GVVV 0
Sparta Rotterdam 2
Achilles Veen 4
GVV Unitas 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
Eindhoven FC 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Excelsior 3
Groningen 4
Helmond Sport 0
Ajax (Am) 0
Cambuur 5
Capelle 0
Nijmegen 3
AFC 1
Heerenveen 2
De Treffers 3
Rijnsburgse Boys 2
Almere City 0
G.A. Eagles 2
Roda 2
Den Bosch 1
PSV -
TBD -
Sittard 3
TOP Oss 0
Kozakken Boys 1
Telstar 2
Spakenburg 3
Dordrecht 0
NAC Breda 2
Venlo 1
SteDoCo 0
Utrecht 5
Zwolle 4
De Graafschap 1
ACV Assen 0
Maastricht 3
1/16-finals
Harkemase Boys 0
Waalwijk 5
Den Haag 4
Gemert 2
Twente 2
Feyenoord 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Heracles 1
Ajax 4
Barendrecht 0
FC Emmen 0
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Vitesse 2
Sparta Rotterdam 1
Achilles Veen 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
Excelsior 2
Groningen 4
Cambuur 1
Nijmegen 2
Heerenveen 2
De Treffers 0
G.A. Eagles 2
Roda 0
PSV 2
Sittard 0
Telstar 5
Spakenburg 3
NAC Breda 3
Utrecht 2
Zwolle 4
Maastricht 0
1/8-finals
Waalwijk 4
Den Haag 2
Twente 1
AZ Alkmaar 2
Ajax 9
Excelsior Maassluis 0
Vitesse 2
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
Groningen 1
Nijmegen 2
Heerenveen 0
G.A. Eagles 1
PSV 2
Telstar 1
NAC Breda 2
Zwolle 1
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk 0
AZ Alkmaar 4
Ajax 5
Vitesse 0
Nijmegen 0
G.A. Eagles 2
PSV 4
NAC Breda 0
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar 0
Ajax 2
G.A. Eagles 1
PSV 2
Final
Ajax 1
PSV 2