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Capital DF U20 vs Candango U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Capital DF U20 and Candango U20 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital DF U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Capital DF U20
20%
Draws
23%
Candango U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Capital DF U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Capital DF U20 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Capital DF U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Candango U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital DF U20 Candango U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 3.58 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.74 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs Candango U20
5:1
May 31, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Candango U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Candango U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:7
Jun 26, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Candango U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital DF U20 95 / 100
Candango U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital DF U20 Candango U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital DF U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Candango U20 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Capital DF U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital DF U20 VS Candango U20
5.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital DF U20

(Home)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
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Candango U20

(Away)
25 Jul
Candango U20
10 : 0
ARUC U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
04 Jul
Candango U20
0 : 5
Sobradinho U20
27 Jun
Gama U20
3 : 3
Candango U20
20 Jun
Legiao U20
2 : 0
Candango U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)