Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Manaus FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Capital FC play Manaus FC in the Copa Betano do Brasil. It looks like a close match. Recently, Capital FC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Manaus FC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Capital FC won 0, Manaus FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Capital FC and 1.48 for Manaus FC. This points to a Manaus FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Capital FC

20%

Draws

50%

Manaus FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manaus FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Capital FC picked up more points recently compared to Manaus FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.48 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Capital FC Clean Sheet 16%

Manaus FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Capital FC	Manaus FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	12
Draws	5	7
Losses	16	11
Goals Scored	1.03	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.83	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil

Capital FC vs Manaus FC

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Araujo R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Manaus FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordeiro Costa A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC 30 / 100

Manaus FC 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Capital FC Manaus FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Manaus FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Capital FC attacking → ← attacking Manaus FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Manaus FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Capital FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Manaus FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 43

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88