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Capital FC vs Nova Conquista

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nova Conquista in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Conquista.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Capital FC
28%
Draws
22%
Nova Conquista
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Capital FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Capital FC have won more games recently than Nova Conquista.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Capital FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nova Conquista have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital FC Nova Conquista
Matches Played 40 23
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2022 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Capital FC
0:1
Feb 20, 2021 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Capital FC
2:0
Feb 15, 2020 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Nova Conquista
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC 49 / 100
Nova Conquista 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital FC Nova Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital FC's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Nova Conquista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Nova Conquista lost 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital FC

(Home)
21 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 2
Capital FC
14 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2
Tocantinopolis
07 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Capital FC
04 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2
Manaus FC
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
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Nova Conquista

(Away)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas761018:319
2Interporto751120:516
3Tocantinopolis741211:913
4Araguacema732212:811
5Capital FC72056:136
6Nova Conquista71334:116
7SD Sparta71154:94
8Cerrado71154:214
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2020 (Play Offs)