Sport Picks

Brazil

Tocantinense

Capital FC

3 - 2

Uniao Carmolandense

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Jean Bala

20'

Lucas L.

25'

Sousa Araujo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense game between Capital FC and Uniao Carmolandense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Capital FC

28%

Draws

50%

Uniao Carmolandense

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Capital FC haven't matched Uniao Carmolandense's recent run of results.
Uniao Carmolandense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Capital FC Clean Sheet 15%

Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Capital FC	Uniao Carmolandense
Matches Played	34	32
Wins	10	14
Draws	8	8
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tocantinense

Capital FC vs Uniao Carmolandense

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Feb 5, 2025 Tocantinense

Uniao Carmolandense vs Capital FC

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Mar 10, 2024 Tocantinense

Capital FC vs Uniao Carmolandense

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Jan 28, 2023 Tocantinense

Uniao Carmolandense vs Capital FC

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jan 29, 2022 Tocantinense

Uniao Carmolandense vs Capital FC

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sousa Araujo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Uniao Carmolandense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Bala

1 Goals

Assists Leader Brasileiro J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC 23 / 100

Uniao Carmolandense 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Capital FC Uniao Carmolandense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Uniao Carmolandense has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Capital FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC VS Uniao Carmolandense

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tocantinopolis	7	6	1	0	10:1	19
2	Uniao Carmolandense	7	4	1	2	12:5	13
3	Gurupi	7	4	1	2	10:6	13
4	Capital FC	7	2	3	2	10:9	9
5	Araguaina	7	2	2	3	7:7	8
6	Bela Vista-TO	7	2	2	3	8:14	8
7	Palmas	7	1	2	4	4:10	5
8	Guarai SC	7	0	2	5	3:12	2