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Capital vs Brasilia FC (DF)

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Manoel
53' Event
Leozynho
74' Event
Roger Gaucho

AI Match Summary

Capital in this Brasiliense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Capital
6%
Draws
4%
Brasilia FC (DF)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital lately — more wins on the board than Brasilia FC (DF).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Capital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Brasilia FC (DF) Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Brasilia FC (DF)
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Brasiliense
Brasilia FC (DF) vs Capital
1:3
Mar 5, 2023 Brasiliense
Capital vs Brasilia FC (DF)
3:1
Feb 5, 2022 Brasiliense
Capital vs Brasilia FC (DF)
4:1
Mar 7, 2014 Brasiliense
Brasilia FC (DF) vs Capital
2:1
Apr 20, 2013 Brasiliense
Capital vs Brasilia FC (DF)
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Manoel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leozynho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Brasilia FC (DF) Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirandinha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 95 / 100
Brasilia FC (DF) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Brasilia FC (DF)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Capital scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Brasilia FC (DF)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Capital has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Brasilia953113:618
2Brasiliense943218:915
3Capital943211:815
4Paranoa943214:1515
5Gama94238:614
6Ceilandia942312:1114
7Samambaia941416:1613
8Santa Maria92169:147
9Taguatinga921612:197
10Brasilia FC (DF)92169:187