Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capital vs Brasiliense

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), Paranoá
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Erick Luis
63' Event
Matheuzinho
(Penalty)
90' Event
Vitor Marinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Capital
35%
Draws
32%
Brasiliense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Capital have won more games recently than Brasiliense.
  • Model gives Capital a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Brasiliense
Matches Played 39 37
Wins 20 16
Draws 12 13
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Capital vs Brasiliense
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Brasiliense
Capital vs Brasiliense
3:0
Feb 6, 2025 Copa Verde
Brasiliense vs Capital
1:0
Jan 22, 2025 Copa Verde
Brasiliense vs Capital
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Brasiliense
Capital vs Brasiliense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Villela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brasiliense Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Luis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor Marinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 95 / 100
Brasiliense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Brasiliense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Capital stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Brasiliense conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS Brasiliense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 8

Brasiliense

(Away)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)