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Capital vs Primavera AC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), Paranoá
Capital Logo

Capital

4 - 3
FT
Primavera AC Logo

Primavera AC

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bryan Gabriel
15' Event
Lessinho
20' Event
Bryan Gabriel
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Capital
30%
Draws
33%
Primavera AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capital come out ahead of Primavera AC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Capital's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Capital have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capital, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Primavera AC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Capital vs Primavera AC
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Lessinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medeiros R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Primavera AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bryan Gabriel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Viana W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 95 / 100
Primavera AC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Primavera AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Capital scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Primavera AC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Capital remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS Primavera AC
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 6

Primavera AC

(Away)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)