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Capital vs Unai EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 game between Capital and Unai EC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Capital
20%
Draws
34%
Unai EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Capital carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Capital are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Capital Clean Sheet 20%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Unai EC
Matches Played 46 30
Wins 25 9
Draws 15 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Brasiliense
Capital vs Unai EC
3:1
Apr 7, 2021 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Capital
2:2
Mar 14, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Unai EC
1:1
Mar 20, 2019 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Capital
0:0
Mar 1, 2014 Brasiliense
Capital vs Unai EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 85 / 100
Unai EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Unai EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (46 games).

Unai EC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Capital has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 10

Unai EC

(Away)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 11 10 1 0 41:8 31
2 Brasiliense 11 9 1 1 38:7 28
3 Real Brasilia 11 7 2 2 25:9 23
4 Bosque Formosa 11 6 1 4 19:19 19
5 Taguatinga 11 5 3 3 18:15 18
6 Capital 11 3 6 2 15:12 15
7 Luziania 11 4 2 5 22:21 14
8 Sobradinho 11 4 1 6 13:24 13
9 Unai EC 11 3 2 6 19:22 11
10 Ceilandia 11 2 2 7 8:26 8
11 Ceilandense 11 0 3 8 1:27 3
12 Paranoa 11 0 2 9 8:37 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2020 (Play Offs)