Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capivariano U20 vs Guarani U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
52' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Capivariano U20
35%
Draws
45%
Guarani U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarani U20 have won more games recently than Capivariano U20.
  • Guarani U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guarani U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano U20 Guarani U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 21
Draws 13 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Guarani U20
1:1
Jul 11, 2025 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Capivariano U20
3:1
May 31, 2024 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Capivariano U20
4:0
Apr 26, 2024 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Guarani U20
0:3
May 20, 2023 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Guarani U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano U20 12 / 100
Guarani U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano U20 Guarani U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Capivariano U20's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Capivariano U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guarani U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano U20 VS Guarani U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Tanabi U20
04 Sept
Maua FC U20
0 : 1
Capivariano U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
15 Aug
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 6

Guarani U20

(Away)
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
15 Aug
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)