Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20

Ituano U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Capivariano U20 play Ituano U20 in the Paulista U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Capivariano U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Ituano U20 averaged 2.12 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Capivariano U20 won 0, Ituano U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 3, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Capivariano U20 and 1.75 for Ituano U20. This points to a Ituano U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Capivariano U20

31%

Draws

39%

Ituano U20

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Ituano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Capivariano U20 picked up more points recently compared to Ituano U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Capivariano U20	Ituano U20
Matches Played	29	33
Wins	10	18
Draws	11	8
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.34	2.12
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Paulista U20

Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capivariano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Erivaldo

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Teruel B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Renan M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano U20 29 / 100

Ituano U20 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Capivariano U20 Ituano U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ituano U20 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Capivariano U20 attacking → ← attacking Ituano U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capivariano U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ituano U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Capivariano U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ituano U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 62

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	4	3	1	0	8:1	10
2	CA Juventus U20	4	3	0	1	12:4	9
3	Santos U20	4	2	2	0	4:0	8
4	Portuguesa U20	4	2	1	1	7:4	7
5	Corinthians U20	3	2	1	0	3:0	7
6	Ponte Preta U20	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
7	Jabaquara U20	4	2	0	2	3:3	6
8	Portuguesa Santista U20	4	2	0	2	8:10	6
9	Sao Bento U20	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
10	Sertaozinho U20	3	1	1	1	1:3	4
11	Uniao Suzano U20	3	1	0	2	2:5	3
12	Itapirense U20	4	1	0	3	5:9	3
13	Mirassol U20	3	0	0	3	1:6	0
14	America SP U20	4	0	0	4	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ibrachina U20	4	4	0	0	14:2	12
2	Osasco Sporting U20	4	4	0	0	9:5	12
3	Desportivo U20	5	4	0	1	6:3	12
4	Sao Paulo U20	4	3	1	0	7:0	10
5	Uniao Sao Joao U20	5	1	3	1	4:3	6
6	Paulinense U20	5	1	2	2	5:7	5
7	EC Sao Bernardo U20	4	1	2	1	4:6	5
8	Aguai U20	5	1	2	2	5:10	5
9	Santo Andre U20	5	1	1	3	6:7	4
10	Bandeirante U20	5	1	1	3	3:8	4
11	Piracicaba U20	5	0	4	1	4:6	4
12	Sao Caetano U20	5	1	0	4	5:10	3
13	Botafogo SP U20	4	0	3	1	4:5	3
14	Velo Clube U20	4	0	3	1	2:3	3
15	Novorizontino U20	4	0	2	2	3:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	3	3	0	0	8:0	9
2	Bragantino U20	3	3	0	0	8:3	9
3	Guarani U20	4	3	0	1	7:4	9
4	Agua Santa U20	5	2	2	1	10:6	8
5	Gremio Prudente U20	4	2	1	1	5:5	7
6	XV de Jau U20	5	2	1	2	4:6	7
7	Sfera U20	5	2	0	3	9:6	6
8	Flamengo SP U20	5	2	0	3	5:7	6
9	Ituano U20	4	1	3	0	6:5	6
10	Capivariano U20	5	1	3	1	5:6	6
11	Tanabi U20	5	1	2	2	7:8	5
12	Osasco Audax U20	5	1	2	2	3:5	5
13	Maua FC U20	5	1	2	2	3:9	5
14	Referencia U20	4	0	1	3	3:7	1
15	Porto Football U20	4	0	1	3	0:6	1