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Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 Logo

Capivariano U20

2 - 2
FT
Ituano U20 Logo

Ituano U20

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Erivaldo
45' Event
Teruel B.
75' Event
Erivaldo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Capivariano U20
30%
Draws
41%
Ituano U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ituano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ituano U20 lately — more wins on the board than Capivariano U20.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano U20 Ituano U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Ituano U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capivariano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Erivaldo
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Teruel B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano U20 32 / 100
Ituano U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano U20 Ituano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Capivariano U20's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ituano U20 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Capivariano U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano U20 VS Ituano U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Tanabi U20
04 Sept
Maua FC U20
0 : 1
Capivariano U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
15 Aug
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 6

Ituano U20

(Away)
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
14 Aug
Ituano U20
3 : 1
Porto Football U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)