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Capivariano vs FC Primeira Camisa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capivariano in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Capivariano
15%
Draws
34%
FC Primeira Camisa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capivariano lately — more wins on the board than FC Primeira Camisa.
  • Model gives Capivariano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
FC Primeira Camisa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano FC Primeira Camisa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2011 Paulista A4
FC Primeira Camisa vs Capivariano
0:1
Sep 7, 2011 Paulista A4
Capivariano vs FC Primeira Camisa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 36 / 100
FC Primeira Camisa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano FC Primeira Camisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capivariano's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Primeira Camisa conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: FC Primeira Camisa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
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FC Primeira Camisa

(Away)
23 Oct
Independente SP
4 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
19 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
1 : 0
Guacuano
16 Oct
FC Primeira Camisa
0 : 1
Votuporanguense
09 Oct
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
05 Oct
Guacuano
3 : 0
FC Primeira Camisa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capivariano 6 5 0 1 13:8 15
2 Votuporanguense 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
3 FC Primeira Camisa 6 2 2 2 10:6 8
4 Jacarei (Inactive) 6 0 1 5 5:12 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Fourth stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guacuano 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
2 Barretos EC 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Desportivo 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Fernandopolis 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Fourth stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Independente SP 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 ECUS SP 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Fourth stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams