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Capivariano vs Mirassol Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Arena Capivari, Capivari
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Yuri Lara
31' Event
Vinicius Popo
41'
Ravanelli

AI Match Summary

The Paulista game between Capivariano and Mirassol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Capivariano
15%
Draws
53%
Mirassol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Capivariano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mirassol a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 23%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Mirassol
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.22
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Paulista
Capivariano vs Mirassol
1:0
Mar 1, 2014 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Mirassol
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capivariano Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Popo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Mirassol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 10 / 100
Mirassol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Mirassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mirassol conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Capivariano scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Capivariano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mirassol
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6

Mirassol

(Away)
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
2 Palmeiras 8 5 1 2 8:7 16
3 Bragantino 8 4 4 0 14:2 16
4 Portuguesa 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Corinthians 8 4 2 2 10:6 14
6 Sao Paulo 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
7 Capivariano 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 Santos 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
9 Guarani 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Botafogo SP 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
11 Mirassol 8 2 2 4 10:8 8
12 Primavera EC 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Sao Bernardo 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Noroeste 8 1 5 2 11:11 8
15 Velo Clube 8 1 2 5 2:13 5
16 Ponte Preta 8 0 1 7 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)