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Capivariano vs Olimpia FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2021
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AI Match Summary

Capivariano in this Paulista A3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Capivariano
6%
Draws
4%
Olimpia FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Capivariano have won more games recently than Olimpia FC.
  • Model gives Capivariano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Capivariano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Olimpia FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Capivariano
0:1
May 25, 2021 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Olimpia FC
2:0
Feb 16, 2020 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Capivariano
0:0
Mar 31, 2019 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Olimpia FC
2:1
Mar 8, 2018 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Olimpia FC
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 85 / 100
Olimpia FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Olimpia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimpia FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Olimpia FC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Capivariano found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS Olimpia FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Noroeste1584325:1428
2Barretos EC1583418:1327
3Votuporanguense1576221:1327
4Sao Jose EC1576222:1627
5Linense1573521:1824
6Marilia1565417:1123
7Primavera EC1565417:1423
8Nacional SP1571730:2522
9Capivariano1563621:2121
10Desportivo1548316:1520
11Bandeirante1545611:1417
12Comercial1538421:1817
13Rio Preto EC1544714:2316
14Olimpia FC1534812:2313
15Batatais1516811:259
16Penapolense1507811:257