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Capivariano vs Piracicaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 2025
Wed, Mar 19, 2025
3 - 1
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Carlos Eduardo
90' Event
Vinicius Popo
90' Event
Leo Gobo

AI Match Summary

Capivariano in this Paulista A2 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Capivariano
20%
Draws
36%
Piracicaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capivariano lately — more wins on the board than Piracicaba.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Capivariano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capivariano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Piracicaba
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 14
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.11
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Piracicaba
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Capivariano
1:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Piracicaba
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Capivariano
0:0
Mar 23, 2017 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Piracicaba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capivariano Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Eduardo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Popo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Gobo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 32 / 100
Piracicaba 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Piracicaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Capivariano scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Piracicaba has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Capivariano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piracicaba
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6

Piracicaba

(Away)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Primavera EC 1
Santo Andre 0
Taubate 1
Sao Jose EC 0
Capivariano 3
Piracicaba 2
Ituano 4
Ferroviaria 3
Semi-finals
Primavera EC 4
Taubate 1
Capivariano 4
Ituano 1
Final
Primavera EC 1
Capivariano 2