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Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Capivariano
20%
Draws
36%
Red Bull Brasil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Capivariano have won more games recently than Red Bull Brasil.
  • Model gives Red Bull Brasil a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Red Bull Brasil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2023 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
1:1
Feb 3, 2016 Paulista
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
0:2
Jan 31, 2015 Paulista
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
0:1
Mar 9, 2014 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Capivariano
0:2
Jan 30, 2013 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 24 / 100
Red Bull Brasil 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Red Bull Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Bull Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Bull Brasil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Capivariano's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Capivariano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
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Red Bull Brasil

(Away)
18 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
5 : 0
Barretos EC
11 Mar
Gremio Prudente
2 : 0
Red Bull Brasil
08 Mar
Capivariano
1 : 1
Red Bull Brasil
04 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
2 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
01 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
1 : 1
Itapirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)