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Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capivariano play Red Bull Brasil in the Paulista A3 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Capivariano averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Red Bull Brasil averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Capivariano won 1, Red Bull Brasil won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Capivariano and 0.94 for Red Bull Brasil. This points to a Capivariano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Capivariano
28%
Draws
50%
Red Bull Brasil
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Red Bull Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Capivariano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Red Bull Brasil.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Red Bull Brasil.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A3 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Red Bull Brasil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2023 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
1:1
Feb 3, 2016 Paulista
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
0:2
Jan 31, 2015 Paulista
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
0:1
Mar 9, 2014 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Capivariano
0:2
Jan 30, 2013 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Red Bull Brasil
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 24 / 100
Red Bull Brasil 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Red Bull Brasil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RBB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capivariano scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Red Bull Brasil let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Capivariano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Red Bull Brasil lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marilia1592425:1529
2Sao Jose EC1583413:1227
3Capivariano1576228:1127
4Gremio Prudente1573521:1624
5Desportivo1573514:924
6EC Sao Bernardo1571717:1622
7Uniao Suzano1563621:1821
8Matonense1562721:1820
9Bandeirante1555519:1520
10Red Bull Brasil1554624:2319
11Rio Preto EC1554615:2119
12Itapirense1547411:1719
13Votuporanguense1545614:1917
14Sertaozinho1551915:2616
15Barretos EC1544718:2916
16Audax-SP153398:1912