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Capivariano vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Lailton Canabrava

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 2025 game between Capivariano and Sao Jose EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Capivariano
22%
Draws
60%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capivariano come out ahead of Sao Jose EC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Sao Jose EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 11%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Capivariano
1:0
May 13, 2023 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Sao Jose EC
3:0
May 6, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Capivariano
1:0
Mar 4, 2023 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Sao Jose EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capivariano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lailton Canabrava
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Sao Jose EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 18 / 100
Sao Jose EC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Capivariano scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Sao Jose EC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano VS Sao Jose EC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano

(Home)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6

Sao Jose EC

(Away)
20 Jul
Sao Caetano
1 : 2
Sao Jose EC
15 Apr
Sao Jose EC
5 : 0
Sertaozinho
11 Apr
Juventus-SP
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
29 Mar
Ferroviaria
4 : 1
Sao Jose EC
25 Mar
Sao Jose EC
0 : 1
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Primavera EC1577117:728
2Capivariano1574419:1225
3Ituano1567223:1625
4Taubate1572619:1823
5Sao Jose EC1564516:1122
6Ferroviaria1564523:1922
7Piracicaba1564513:1322
8Santo Andre1556421:1521
9Gremio Prudente1555519:1620
10Osasco Sporting1555514:1620
11Juventus-SP1547421:1919
12Linense1552815:2117
13Votuporanguense1545613:2017
14Sao Bento153489:1913
15Portuguesa Santista1527610:2013
16Rio Claro1519511:2112
Promotion - Paulista A2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)