Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capixaba SC vs Porto Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Sat, May 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Capixaba SC have averaged 0.91 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Porto Vitoria's 1.45 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Capixaba SC have won 1 to Porto Vitoria's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.24, favoring Porto Vitoria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Capixaba SC
20%
Draws
46%
Porto Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Porto Vitoria have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • Model gives Porto Vitoria a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Porto Vitoria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Vitoria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 19%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capixaba SC Porto Vitoria
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.91 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Porto Vitoria
0:0
Jan 15, 2026 Capixaba
Porto Vitoria vs Capixaba SC
2:0
May 20, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Capixaba SC
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 Capixaba
Capixaba SC vs Porto Vitoria
1:0
Aug 12, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Porto Vitoria
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capixaba SC 24 / 100
Porto Vitoria 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capixaba SC Porto Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Vitoria let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Capixaba SC's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Capixaba SC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capixaba SC VS Porto Vitoria
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capixaba SC

(Home)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 5

Porto Vitoria

(Away)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)