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Capixaba SC vs Vitoria ES Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Sat, Jun 6, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Capixaba SC have averaged 0.91 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Vitoria ES's 1.76 scored and 0.89 conceded. Past meetings favor Vitoria ES slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.49) back Vitoria ES to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Capixaba SC
15%
Draws
46%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria ES have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Vitoria ES arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vitoria ES, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 16%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capixaba SC Vitoria ES
Matches Played 22 37
Wins 8 20
Draws 3 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.91 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vitoria ES
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC
2:0
May 10, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Vitoria ES
0:4
Feb 12, 2025 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC
1:2
May 4, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Vitoria ES vs Capixaba SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capixaba SC 30 / 100
Vitoria ES 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capixaba SC Vitoria ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capixaba SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Capixaba SC scored in 55% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitoria ES conceded in 59% of 37 recent games.

Capixaba SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capixaba SC VS Vitoria ES
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Capixaba SC

(Home)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
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Vitoria ES

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)