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Carabanchel vs AD Alcala Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between Carabanchel and AD Alcala finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Carabanchel
30%
Draws
29%
AD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabanchel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carabanchel come out ahead of AD Alcala on wins alone.
  • Carabanchel are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%
AD Alcala Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabanchel AD Alcala
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs AD Alcala
1:1
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Alcala vs Carabanchel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabanchel 68 / 100
AD Alcala 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabanchel AD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabanchel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Alcala let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Carabanchel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Carabanchel scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Carabanchel VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabanchel

(Home)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 7

AD Alcala

(Away)
24 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0
AD Alcala
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Villaviciosa de Odon
2 : 1
AD Alcala
13 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 0
AD Alcala
09 Apr
AD Alcala
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)