Sport Picks
Carabanchel vs Trival Valderas
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
29'
29'
Antwi D. M.
64'
64'
Ramirez de Arroba A.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Carabanchel haven't matched Trival Valderas's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Carabanchel taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 17%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carabanchel | Trival Valderas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Carabanchel
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Carabanchel
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Feb 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Carabanchel
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carabanchel Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Trival Valderas Compare
Top Goalscorer Antwi D. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.26
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carabanchel 36 / 100
Trival Valderas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carabanchel Trival Valderas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Carabanchel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Carabanchel scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Trival Valderas conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Carabanchel VS Trival Valderas
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Carabanchel
(Home) 10 May
Siello
3 : 0 Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1 Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1 Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2 Pozuelo de Alarcon
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
05 Apr
Carabanchel
3 : 1 Parla
22 Mar
Carabanchel
0 : 0 Mexico
01 Mar
Carabanchel
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
Trival Valderas
(Away) 20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0 La Nucia
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0 Trival Valderas
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1 Trival Valderas
17 May
Leganes B
0 : 1 Trival Valderas
03 May
Mexico
0 : 2 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
