Sport Picks
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia 
Match Events
21'
21'
Gutierez J.
23'
23'
Farias D.
26'
26'
Rodriguez C.
AI Match Summary
Carabobo in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carabobo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabobo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Carabobo lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes Merida.
- Carabobo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Carabobo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carabobo | Estudiantes Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
May 17, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Carabobo
0:2
May 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Carabobo
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Merida
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carabobo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Estudiantes Merida Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carabobo 42 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carabobo Estudiantes Merida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estudiantes Merida let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Carabobo scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Carabobo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Carabobo VS Estudiantes Merida
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Carabobo
(Home) 19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1 Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2 Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3 Carabobo
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Deportivo La Guaira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
30 Aug
Carabobo
0 : 0 Zamora
16 Aug
Carabobo
1 : 0 Metropolitanos
04 Aug
Carabobo
2 : 0 Trujillanos
Page 1 of 4
Estudiantes Merida
(Away) 20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0 Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
10 Aug
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)
