Sport Picks

Caracas vs Botafogo RJ Prediction & H2H Stats

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas

Caracas

1 - 3

Botafogo RJ

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Sub

Quintero J. In: La Mantia F.

Out: Quintero J.

25'

Sub

Benitez F. In: Vegas J.

Out: Benitez F.

34'

Vitinho

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Caracas

30%

Draws

29%

Botafogo RJ

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caracas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

Botafogo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Caracas's way, sitting at 80%.
Botafogo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Caracas Clean Sheet 68%

Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caracas	Botafogo RJ
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	10	15
Draws	11	9
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Caracas vs Botafogo RJ

1:3

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo RJ vs Caracas

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kauan Toledo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 86 / 100

Botafogo RJ 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caracas Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caracas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caracas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Botafogo RJ has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Caracas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Botafogo RJ

1.75 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)

20 Sept

Academia Anzoategui

1 : 1

Caracas

16 Sept

Metropolitanos

3 : 0

Caracas

13 Sept

Caracas

0 : 1

Monagas

09 Sept

Barquisimeto

0 : 5

Caracas

06 Sept

Trujillanos

0 : 1

Caracas

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Botafogo RJ

(Away)

19 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 0

Botafogo RJ

16 Sept

Botafogo RJ

3 : 2

Gremio

12 Sept

Botafogo RJ

1 : 1

Bragantino

06 Sept

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Palmeiras

30 Aug

Flamengo RJ

3 : 0

Botafogo RJ

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