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Caracas vs Carabobo

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
De Santis J.
19'
Villarreal A.
24' Event
Hernandez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Caracas and Carabobo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Caracas
20%
Draws
47%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carabobo come out ahead of Caracas on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Caracas taking it.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Caracas Clean Sheet 20%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Carabobo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Carabobo
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Caracas
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Caracas
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Carabobo
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Caracas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Machis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 36 / 100
Carabobo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carabobo conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Caracas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Carabobo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3
Carabobo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)