Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Castellanos J.
Assist: Gonzalez M.
22'
Hernandez R.
35'
Gudino I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Caracas and Deportivo La Guaira finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Caracas
20%
Draws
29%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caracas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Caracas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Caracas taking it.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo La Guaira have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Caracas Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas
1:0
Aug 20, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Jul 23, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarreal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 59 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caracas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caracas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Deportivo La Guaira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Caracas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
11 Oct
Caracas
4 : 1
Zamora
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Universidad Central
06 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 0
Academia Anzoategui
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 12 10 1 1 28:9 31
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 12 6 4 2 16:9 22
4 Carabobo 12 6 3 3 13:8 21
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Monagas 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
8 Estudiantes Merida 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
9 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
10 Caracas 12 3 5 4 13:15 14
11 Trujillanos 12 3 2 7 12:19 11
12 Rayo Zuliano 12 3 2 7 17:27 11
13 Zamora 12 2 2 8 11:25 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 12 1 2 9 6:21 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)