Sport Picks
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Magallan C. In: Caicedo C.
Out: Magallan C.
34'
34'
Ivey R.
Assist: Montero A.
42'
42'
De Santis J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes Merida
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Estudiantes Merida lately — more wins on the board than Caracas.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caracas Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caracas | Estudiantes Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Caracas
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Caracas
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
0:0
Aug 15, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caracas Compare
Top Goalscorer De Santis J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yendis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Estudiantes Merida Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivey R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caracas 32 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caracas Estudiantes Merida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caracas found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (25 games).
Estudiantes Merida has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Estudiantes Merida's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Caracas VS Estudiantes Merida
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Caracas
(Home) 03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
31 Jul
Caracas
0 : 3 Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0 Caracas
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1 Aragua
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 5
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
31 Jul
Caracas
0 : 3 Santa Fe
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1 Aragua
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3 Botafogo RJ
29 Apr
Caracas
1 : 1 Racing Club
Page 1 of 3
Estudiantes Merida
(Away) 06 Aug
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 0 Zamora
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
31 May
Dep. Tachira
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
24 May
Estudiantes Merida
0 : 1 Metropolitanos
17 May
Estudiantes Merida
0 : 2 Carabobo
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
31 May
Dep. Tachira
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
13 May
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
08 May
Metropolitanos
2 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
26 Apr
Metropolitanos
2 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Tachira | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monagas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Zamora | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Trujillanos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 12 | Academia Anzoategui | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 13 | Caracas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Rayo Zuliano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)
