Sport Picks
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida Prediction & H2H Stats
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Magallan C. In: Caicedo C.
Out: Magallan C.
34'
34'
Ivey R.
Assist: Montero A.
42'
42'
De Santis J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caracas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Caracas at 1.33 per game, Estudiantes Merida at 1.17.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Caracas Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caracas | Estudiantes Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Caracas
2:2
Aug 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Caracas
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
0:0
Aug 15, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Estudiantes Merida
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caracas Compare
Top Goalscorer De Santis J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yendis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Estudiantes Merida Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivey R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caracas 41 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caracas Estudiantes Merida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caracas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caracas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).
Estudiantes Merida has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Caracas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Caracas VS Estudiantes Merida
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caracas
(Home) 20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1 Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0 Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1 Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5 Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1 Caracas
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1 Monagas
02 Sept
Caracas
1 : 1 Portuguesa
26 Aug
Caracas
3 : 1 Barquisimeto
21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1 Carabobo
10 Aug
Caracas
1 : 2 Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 4
Estudiantes Merida
(Away) 20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0 Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1 Estudiantes Merida
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
10 Aug
Rayo Zuliano
3 : 0 Estudiantes Merida
03 Aug
Caracas
2 : 2 Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Dep. Tachira | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportivo La Guaira | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Universidad Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Monagas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Caracas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:23 | 11 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 11 |
| 13 | Zamora | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:20 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)
