Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caracas vs Metropolitanos

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Yustiz Y.
43'
Hernandez R.
48' Event
Gonzalez S.
Assist: Reinoso L.

AI Match Summary

Caracas in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caracas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Caracas
20%
Draws
52%
Metropolitanos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metropolitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Caracas haven't matched Metropolitanos's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Metropolitanos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Caracas Clean Sheet 16%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Metropolitanos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Caracas
3:0
Apr 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Metropolitanos
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Metropolitanos
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Metropolitanos
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Caracas
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Metropolitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 19 / 100
Metropolitanos 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Metropolitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Caracas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Metropolitanos let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Metropolitanos
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
02 Sept
Caracas
1 : 1
Portuguesa
Page 1 of 6

Metropolitanos

(Away)
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
12 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 2
Metropolitanos
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
03 Sept
Metropolitanos
4 : 1
Trujillanos
30 Aug
Portuguesa
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira 13 7 6 0 15:6 27
2 Metropolitanos 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
3 Dep. Tachira 13 7 3 3 17:12 24
4 Universidad Central 13 7 2 4 24:20 23
5 Portuguesa 13 5 5 3 20:12 20
6 Estudiantes Merida 13 6 2 5 21:18 20
7 Carabobo 13 4 7 2 23:14 19
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Zamora 13 4 5 4 14:14 17
10 Caracas 13 3 6 4 15:17 15
11 Rayo Zuliano 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
12 Monagas 13 3 2 8 14:22 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 3 8 15:25 9
14 Trujillanos 13 0 4 9 9:26 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)