Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caracas vs Monagas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caracas host Monagas in the Liga FUTVE. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Caracas at 1.4 goals for, 1.33 against; Monagas at 1.56 for, 1.22 against. Past meetings favor Monagas slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.44, favoring Monagas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Caracas
15%
Draws
37%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caracas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caracas lately — more wins on the board than Monagas.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Caracas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Caracas Clean Sheet 16%
Monagas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas Monagas
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas 57 / 100
Monagas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caracas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caracas found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Monagas has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caracas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caracas VS Monagas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
27 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 1
Caracas
24 Oct
Caracas
1 : 2
Dep. Tachira
21 Oct
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 2
Caracas
18 Oct
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 2
Caracas
14 Oct
Aragua
3 : 1
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

Monagas

(Away)
24 Oct
Monagas
1 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
21 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 1
Monagas
18 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 3
Monagas
14 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
11 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Deportivo La Guaira 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Metropolitanos 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Portuguesa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Caracas 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Monagas 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)