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Caracas W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Indep. Santa Fe W have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Caracas W have conceded 1 and scored 0. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.11) point toward Indep. Santa Fe W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Caracas W
25%
Draws
35%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Caracas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W have won more games recently than Caracas W.
  • Caracas W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Indep. Santa Fe W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Caracas W Clean Sheet 20%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caracas W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 9
Goals Scored 0 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caracas W 42 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caracas W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indep. Santa Fe W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Caracas W's goal record stands at 0% scoring rate across 1 recent games.

Away concern: Indep. Santa Fe W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caracas W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas W

(Home)
05 Feb
Caracas W
0 : 1
Atl. Venezuela W

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Corinthians W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Universitario de Deportes W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Independiente del Valle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional de Football W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)