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Carapinheirense vs Alcains

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Carapinheirense host Alcains in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Carapinheirense at 0 goals for, 0 against; Alcains at 0.75 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Carapinheirense have won 1 to Alcains's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2021, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.93, favoring Carapinheirense. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Carapinheirense
6%
Draws
4%
Alcains
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carapinheirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alcains has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Carapinheirense.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Carapinheirense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 68%
Alcains Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carapinheirense Alcains
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Alcains vs Carapinheirense
1:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs Alcains
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carapinheirense 95 / 100
Alcains 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carapinheirense Alcains

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carapinheirense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Alcains let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Carapinheirense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alcains lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcains
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00