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Carapinheirense vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SB Castelo Branco in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Castelo Branco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Carapinheirense
33%
Draws
27%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Carapinheirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SB Castelo Branco lately — more wins on the board than Carapinheirense.
  • Win probability leans Carapinheirense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SB Castelo Branco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Carapinheirense Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carapinheirense SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 29 45
Wins 7 23
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Carapinheirense
0:0
Feb 16, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs SB Castelo Branco
0:2
Nov 27, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Carapinheirense vs SB Castelo Branco
0:3
Aug 28, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Carapinheirense
3:0
Dec 29, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Carapinheirense
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carapinheirense 50 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carapinheirense SB Castelo Branco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carapinheirense's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Carapinheirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 45 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00