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Caravaca vs Bullense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Navarro A.
43' Event
Belmonte A.
63' Event
Renato
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Caravaca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Caravaca
35%
Draws
24%
Bullense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Caravaca average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Bullense's 0.9.
  • Caravaca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caravaca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 20%
Bullense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca Bullense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bullense
4:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Caravaca
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bullense
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bullense vs Caravaca
1:5
Aug 17, 2023 Club Friendly
Caravaca vs Bullense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belmonte A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Bullense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 85 / 100
Bullense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca Bullense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bullense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Caravaca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Caravaca scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 7

Bullense

(Away)
11 May
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 1
Bullense
04 May
Bullense
0 : 5
Santomera
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Bullense
19 Apr
Bullense
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
13 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Bullense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)