Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caravaca vs CD Alquerias

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caravaca in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Caravaca
30%
Draws
31%
CD Alquerias
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Caravaca have won more games recently than CD Alquerias.
  • Model gives Caravaca a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alquerias Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca CD Alquerias
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs CD Alquerias
4:0
Nov 1, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Alquerias vs Caravaca
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 85 / 100
CD Alquerias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca CD Alquerias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alquerias has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Caravaca scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Caravaca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 7

CD Alquerias

(Away)
18 May
CD Alquerias
2 : 1
Ad Ceuti Atletico
10 May
Ciudad Cieza
5 : 2
CD Alquerias
04 May
CD Alquerias
1 : 3
Sangonera
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 0
CD Alquerias
20 Apr
CD Alquerias
1 : 2
Yeclano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)