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Caravaca vs Ciudad Lorca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Caravaca and Ciudad Lorca finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Caravaca
20%
Draws
0%
Ciudad Lorca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Caravaca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caravaca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caravaca have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca Ciudad Lorca
Matches Played 39 33
Wins 10 3
Draws 15 2
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1.59 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 4.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Ciudad Lorca
11:0
Nov 23, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Caravaca
2:6
Feb 3, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Ciudad Lorca
7:0
Sep 16, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Caravaca
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 85 / 100
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca Ciudad Lorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Lorca has conceded goals in 91% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 7.75 goals when they meet.

Ciudad Lorca lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Caravaca found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (39 games).

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
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Ciudad Lorca

(Away)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)