Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Caravaggio

2 - 0

CA Metropolitano

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Evaristo

59'

Elyson

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caravaggio in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Caravaggio

17%

Draws

13%

CA Metropolitano

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Caravaggio at 2.75 per game, CA Metropolitano at 2.25.
Win probability leans Caravaggio's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Caravaggio	CA Metropolitano
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	14
Draws	5	8
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	2.75	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Jul 21, 2024 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Jul 1, 2023 Catarinense 2

CA Metropolitano vs Caravaggio

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

May 29, 2022 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs CA Metropolitano

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Evaristo

1 Goals

Assists Leader Elyson

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

CA Metropolitano Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 77 / 100

CA Metropolitano 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Caravaggio CA Metropolitano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaggio's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Caravaggio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CA Metropolitano let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS CA Metropolitano

2.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1