Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caravaggio vs Cjarlins Muzane

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Camara F.
84'
Seno M.
84'
Seno M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Caravaggio and Cjarlins Muzane finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cjarlins Muzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Caravaggio
20%
Draws
56%
Cjarlins Muzane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cjarlins Muzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Cjarlins Muzane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cjarlins Muzane are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 23%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Cjarlins Muzane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Cjarlins Muzane
0:1
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Caravaggio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 10 / 100
Cjarlins Muzane 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Cjarlins Muzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cjarlins Muzane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaggio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Cjarlins Muzane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Caravaggio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cjarlins Muzane
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

Cjarlins Muzane

(Away)
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
06 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 5
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)