Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caravaggio vs Guarani de Palhoca

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
30' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Caravaggio and Guarani de Palhoca finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Palhoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caravaggio
28%
Draws
22%
Guarani de Palhoca
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guarani de Palhoca haven't matched Caravaggio's recent run of results.
  • Caravaggio are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 19%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Guarani de Palhoca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Guarani de Palhoca
2:3
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Caravaggio
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Caravaggio
0:1
May 27, 2023 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:2
Jul 2, 2022 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Guarani de Palhoca
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 49 / 100
Guarani de Palhoca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Guarani de Palhoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaggio found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Guarani de Palhoca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caravaggio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS Guarani de Palhoca
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

Guarani de Palhoca

(Away)
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
04 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz16122233:938
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)