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Caravaggio vs Pizzighettone

Italy Italy

Serie C2/A 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caravaggio in this Serie C2/A 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caravaggio
20%
Draws
30%
Pizzighettone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Caravaggio average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Pizzighettone's 0.7.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Caravaggio taking it.
  • Regular Serie C2/A 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Pizzighettone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Pizzighettone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2008 Lega Pro C2/A
Caravaggio vs Pizzighettone
1:0
Dec 2, 2007 Lega Pro C2/A
Pizzighettone vs Caravaggio
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 40 / 100
Pizzighettone 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Pizzighettone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaggio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Pizzighettone conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Caravaggio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

Pizzighettone

(Away)
17 May
Rodengo Saiano
1 : 0
Pizzighettone
10 May
Pizzighettone
0 : 3
Mezzocorona
03 May
Alghero
1 : 0
Pizzighettone
26 Apr
Pizzighettone
1 : 3
Alessandria
19 Apr
Olbia
1 : 2
Pizzighettone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpenedolo 34 16 9 9 49:39 57
2 Pergocrema 34 14 15 5 38:22 57
3 Lumezzane 34 15 7 12 48:46 52
4 Rodengo Saiano 34 13 13 8 42:31 52
5 Mezzocorona 34 14 9 11 36:31 51
6 Sassari Torres 34 13 11 10 42:34 50
7 Canavese 34 12 12 10 38:39 48
8 Olbia 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
9 Pro Vercelli 34 12 11 11 43:43 47
10 Ivrea 34 11 13 10 48:44 46
11 Nuorese 34 11 12 11 40:40 45
12 Sudtirol 34 10 14 10 34:33 44
13 Varese 34 10 14 10 36:33 44
14 Cuneo 34 10 12 12 42:43 42
15 Pavia 34 10 12 12 40:49 42
16 Caravaggio 34 7 13 14 30:39 34
17 Valenzana 34 8 9 17 28:44 33
18 Pizzighettone 34 6 8 20 36:56 26
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie C1/A 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C2/A 2007/2008 (Promotion - Play Offs)