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Caravaggio vs Treviso

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Aliu G.
24'
Scuderi D.
24'
Scuderi D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Caravaggio and Treviso finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Caravaggio
30%
Draws
41%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Treviso come out ahead of Caravaggio on wins alone.
  • Treviso are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 20%
Treviso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Treviso
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Caravaggio vs Treviso
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Caravaggio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Barazzetta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Videkon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 24 / 100
Treviso 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaggio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Caravaggio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Treviso let in goals in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Treviso
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
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Treviso

(Away)
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
31 Aug
Treviso
1 : 0
Lecco
23 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Treviso
16 Aug
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)