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Cardassar vs Formentera

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Blanco L.
55' Event
Sanz D.
76' Event
Gorriz A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Cardassar and Formentera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cardassar
40%
Draws
29%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 12%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Formentera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Cardassar
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Formentera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorriz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 30 / 100
Formentera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardassar's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Cardassar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Formentera has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Formentera
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Cardassar
12 Apr
Cardassar
0 : 2
Constancia
Page 1 of 6

Formentera

(Away)
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0
Mercadal
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)