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Cardassar vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Roig Galmes J.
(Penalty)
73'
Barroso S.
73'
Barroso S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Cardassar and Portmany finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardassar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cardassar
30%
Draws
23%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardassar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cardassar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 18%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Portmany
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Cardassar
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Portmany
2:1
Jan 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Portmany
0:1
Oct 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Cardassar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 85 / 100
Portmany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmany has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cardassar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Cardassar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Portmany
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 6

Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)