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Cardiff City W vs Abergavenny Town W

Wales Wales

Premier Women 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abergavenny Town W in this Premier Women 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abergavenny Town W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cardiff City W
6%
Draws
4%
Abergavenny Town W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cardiff City W have won more games recently than Abergavenny Town W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff City W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 20%
Abergavenny Town W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff City W Abergavenny Town W
Matches Played 39 35
Wins 26 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 3.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2022 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Abergavenny Town W
9:0
Sep 18, 2022 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Cardiff City W
0:5
Apr 7, 2021 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Cardiff City W
2:2
Mar 14, 2021 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Abergavenny Town W
0:4
Jan 5, 2020 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Abergavenny Town W
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff City W 85 / 100
Abergavenny Town W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff City W Abergavenny Town W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Abergavenny Town W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Abergavenny Town W conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff City W VS -
3.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff City W

(Home)
26 Jul
Plymouth W
0 : 3
Cardiff City W
19 Jul
Cardiff City W
4 : 1
Bridgwater United W
05 Apr
Cardiff City W
1 : 1
TNS W
29 Mar
Wrexham W
4 : 1
Cardiff City W
22 Mar
Cardiff City W
2 : 1
Swansea W
Page 1 of 8

Abergavenny Town W

(Away)
09 Apr
Abergavenny Town W
0 : 4
Barry Town W
02 Apr
Aberystwyth W
3 : 0
Abergavenny Town W
26 Mar
Abergavenny Town W
1 : 5
Pontypridd United W
19 Mar
Abergavenny Town W
0 : 1
Aberystwyth W
05 Mar
Pontypridd United W
2 : 0
Abergavenny Town W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff Met. Ladies W16142058:844
2Swansea W16113257:736
3Cardiff City W16102441:1832
4Port Talbot W1683539:2827
5Abergavenny Town W1682637:2426
6Llandudno FC W16421028:5414
7Cyncoed W16411118:5013
8Briton Ferry W16321116:5311
9Rhyl W1611149:614
Promotion - Champions League Women 2019/2020 (Qualification)