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Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cook M.
19' Event
Janette H.
36' Event
Thomas N.

AI Match Summary

The Adran Premier Women game between Cardiff City W and Wrexham W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wrexham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cardiff City W
15%
Draws
49%
Wrexham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Wrexham W's 3.39 goals per match outpaces what Cardiff City W have produced (3.22).
  • Wrexham W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff City W Wrexham W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 22 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 3.22 3.39
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
2:4
Mar 29, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Janette H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wrexham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff City W 22 / 100
Wrexham W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff City W Wrexham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W scored in 97% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Wrexham W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cardiff City W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff City W VS Wrexham W
2 Goals Scored 4.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff City W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cardiff City W
7 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
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Wrexham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Wrexham W
2 : 3
TNS W
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)