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Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women 2025/2026
Cardiff City W Logo

Cardiff City W

1 - 3
FT
Wrexham W Logo

Wrexham W

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Hillier-Knox F.
73' Event
Olden M.
78' Event
Barker K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wrexham W in this Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wrexham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cardiff City W
15%
Draws
54%
Wrexham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wrexham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wrexham W lately — more wins on the board than Cardiff City W.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Wrexham W taking it.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%
Wrexham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff City W Wrexham W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 22
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.93 3.64
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
2:4
Mar 29, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Wrexham W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Wrexham W vs Cardiff City W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olden M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wrexham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hillier-Knox F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barker K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff City W 10 / 100
Wrexham W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff City W Wrexham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wrexham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Wrexham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cardiff City W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff City W VS Wrexham W
2 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff City W

(Home)
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
09 Aug
Cardiff City W
3 : 3
Torquay W
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Wrexham W

(Away)
27 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 8
Wrexham W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
25 Jul
Riga FC W
4 : 1
Wrexham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wrexham W 20 16 1 3 70:26 49
2 Cardiff City W 20 14 3 3 65:24 45
3 Swansea W 20 12 0 8 58:35 36
4 TNS W 20 8 3 9 40:38 27
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)