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Cardiff Corries vs Pontardawe

Wales Wales

Division 1 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2011/2012 game between Cardiff Corries and Pontardawe finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cardiff Corries
15%
Draws
0%
Pontardawe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Corries

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontardawe have managed 1.35 goals a game lately — Cardiff Corries are scoring more at 1.78.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Cardiff Corries taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 11%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Corries Pontardawe
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.78 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Pontardawe
3:3
Oct 29, 2011 Division 1
Pontardawe vs Cardiff Corries
2:2
Feb 5, 2011 Division 1
Pontardawe vs Cardiff Corries
3:0
Oct 16, 2010 Division 1
Cardiff Corries vs Pontardawe
4:0
Feb 20, 2010 Division 1
Pontardawe vs Cardiff Corries
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Corries 47 / 100
Pontardawe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Corries Pontardawe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Corries Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Pontardawe's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cardiff Corries scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Corries VS Pontardawe
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Corries

(Home)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
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Pontardawe

(Away)
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4
Newport City
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2
Pontardawe
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