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Cardiff Met. Ladies W vs Aberystwyth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kersey S.
43' Event
Garton C.
70' Event
Mulenga F.

AI Match Summary

The Adran Premier Women game between Cardiff Met. Ladies W and Aberystwyth W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff Met. Ladies W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
15%
Draws
0%
Aberystwyth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff Met. Ladies W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aberystwyth W come out ahead of Cardiff Met. Ladies W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff Met. Ladies W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cardiff Met. Ladies W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff Met. Ladies W Aberystwyth W
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.36 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff Met. Ladies W vs Aberystwyth W
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff Met. Ladies W vs Aberystwyth W
1:2
Jan 15, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff Met. Ladies W
1:0
Oct 13, 2024 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff Met. Ladies W vs Aberystwyth W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff Met. Ladies W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garton C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mulenga F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Aberystwyth W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kersey S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff Met. Ladies W 83 / 100
Aberystwyth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff Met. Ladies W Aberystwyth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Met. Ladies W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberystwyth W has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Aberystwyth W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff Met. Ladies W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff Met. Ladies W VS Aberystwyth W
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
2.33 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff Met. Ladies W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cardiff City W
7 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
13 Sept
Briton Ferry W
1 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
06 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
0 : 2
TNS W
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Aberystwyth W

(Away)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)